US Presidential Election 2020 – Research and Analyses
The 2020 United States Presidential Election is on Tuesday, 3 November 2020. What are the implications for geopolitics and security for Asia and the rest of the world? What does the outcome mean for us?
This resource page is a collation of RSIS commentaries, op-eds, comments from RSIS staff and adjunct to the media, and webinars on the subject. We hope to offer a useful resource and insights on the topic.
Adam Garfinkle, RSIS distinguished visiting fellow and founding editor of The American Interest, wrote that political polling in the United States is neither as reliable nor as harmless as most observers suppose. Technology has made that more true than ever in recent years.
Read more in RSIS Commentary “Polling the Politicians: Pitfalls and Perils”
Tan See Seng, professor of International Relations at RSIS, wrote that should Joe Biden become the next president of America, what might his China policy look like? A Biden approach to Xi Jinping’s China could have three possible dimensions.
Read more in RSIS Commentary “How Will Biden Respond to China?”
Adam Garfinkle, RSIS distinguished visiting fellow and founding editor of The American Interest, wrote that although several presidential elections in American history have been troubled procedurally, no election looks as doomed to cause trouble as the one to be held, presumably, on 3 November 2020.
Read more in RSIS Commentary “An Election Doomed to Cause Harm?”
Joseph Liow Chinyong, dean of the College of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, Tan Kah Kee Chair in Comparative and International Politics, and research adviser at RSIS, said changes are needed no matter who becomes the 46th president of the United States after the Nov 3 election.
Read more in article “US’ Asia Policy – 3 Areas for a Rethink”
Evan Resnick, assistant professor at RSIS, wrote that all of US President Donald Trump’s predecessors shrewdly attempted to balance their foreign policy between idealism and realism. Trump is the first president to eschew both idealism and realism, with deleterious consequences.
Read more in the article “Donald Trump’s ‘Exceptional’ Foreign Policy”
Adam Garfinkle, distinguished visiting fellow at RSIS, wrote that the outlook is grim given Republican anxieties and actions ahead of Nov 3 polls. Trump’s illness adds new complexities to the situation.
Read more in the article “Is the End Nigh for American Democracy?”
Michael Raska, assistant professor and coordinator of the Military Transformations Programme at RSIS, wrote that ultimately, the line between low-end and high-end North Korean cyberspace operations has been blurred, and the question is whether they are sufficient to degrade US cyber defenses. With the ongoing political and economic crisis in the US, however, unrestricted cyber operations may increase the propensity for a strategic surprise.
Read more in the article “Could North Korea Hack into US Elections?”
Adam Garfinkle, distinguished visiting fellow at RSIS, wrote that democrats need new thinking for new circumstances. The conditions are not there for a return to the US grand strategy of old.
Read more in the article “Joe Biden’s New/Old Statecraft”
Adrian Ang U-Jin, research fellow with the US Programme at RSIS, is of the view that Biden will be the next American leader. He shared that while there are a good number of Democrats and pundits traumatised by the experience of 2016, there is good evidence to suggest that we will not see a repeat of 2016.
Read more in Mothership “S’porean Expert on US Politics Says Biden will Win Election”
Joseph Liow Chinyong, dean of the College of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, Tan Kah Kee Chair in Comparative and International Politics, and research adviser at RSIS, said the US general election is essentially a referendum on the current president. If Mr Trump wins, it will show that most voters support the policies he introduced. Tan See Seng, professor of International Relations at RSIS, said Mr Trump administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy will force ASEAN to choose between the US and China, and may further push Southeast Asian governments closer to China.
Read more in Lianhe Zaobao article “Looking at the U.S. Elections from Southeast Asia”
Adrian Ang U-Jin, research fellow with the US Programme at RSIS, discussed on the US Presidential Election 2020 during a video interview with Lianhe Zaobao online.
Watch the Video Interview “Lianhe Zaobao Discussion on US Presidential Election 2020” (16:35 to 23:41)
Adrian Ang U-Jin, research fellow with the US Programme at RSIS, gave an interview on BFM 89.9 business station, where he discussed on the investigation into Trump’s tax payments and how it might affect his bid for a second term.
Listen to the Radio Interview “Will Trump’s Taxes Affect his Election Campaign?” (7:10 onwards)
Joseph Chinyong Liow, dean of the College of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, Tan Kah Kee Chair in Comparative and International Politics, and research adviser at RSIS, noted that Trump is renowned for his unpredictability, his officials are a mix of ideologues and hardliners – that’s not particularly encouraging towards cooling tensions with China.
Read more in The Straits Times article “How South-east Asia Regards Donald Trump and Joe Biden”
Last updated on 26/10/2020