A Russian mediated-ceasefire in the Caucasus cements a Turkish-backed Azerbaijani military defeat of Armenia but raises tantalising questions about the balance of power between Russia and Turkey in a region that was once part of the Soviet Union and that Moscow sees as its backyard. It also throws into doubt longer term relations between Russia and Armenia where many feel betrayed by Moscow’s refusal to come to Armenia’s aid under a defence pact between the two countries, wrote RSIS Senior Fellow Dr James Dorsey in an analysis.

…Dr James M. Dorsey is a Senior Fellow at Nanyang Technological University’s S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore and the author of the blog, The Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer.