Prediction and Foresight Scenario in 2017

Megapolitan Antara News (Jakarta)

23 January 2017

Predicting the global and regional situation as well as the national that will happen in 2017 is not easy, because it will be surrounded by a lot of fundamental and strategic developments, including “strategic surprises” and “driving force” in it.

At least, there are some sensitive issues that will affect the situation globally and regionally, among others, the continuing crisis in Syria and Iraq, due to the efforts of Iraq, Shiite militants, Kurdish militants (Peshmerga) and US coalition forces to defeat ISIS in Mosul, Raqqa and Allepo are not an easy work; The dynamic situation of the South China Sea dispute (LTS), which will continue with Chin’s plan that combines Fabianstrategy with the theory of balance of power in the region in order to prevent (Deterence) as well as to maintain the hegemony of influence; The dynamic situation of global politics as a result of the victory of Donald Trump; The threat of terrorism is still going to be a security problem in some countries; Increased military spending in several countries could be a trigger of a global conflict as the nuclear arms race continues.

Meanwhile, national issues that predicted will occurred in the 2017 such as terrorism threats, interference separatism in Papua, 2017 Electoral Implementation, drugs and the threat of corruption and the possibility of social cohesion as a result of multitude number of foreign worker.

… According to terrorism expert and the chief of International Center for Terrorism Research and Political Violence (ICPVTR) in S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) in Singapore, Dr Rohan Gunaratna, and ISIS ideology has been spread and has been Southeast Asia.

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