Abstract:

Is China’s Economic going to be further slowing down? The answer is like to be yes. It might be around 6.5% in 2016 and even slower in the future years, lower than the 6.9% in 2015. But at the same time, the quality and structure of China’s economy are improving: service industry has become the largest part and driving force of the economy; consumption grows faster than the GDP, high technological sector develops faster than traditional industry. The model and structure of China’s economy are changing towards better direction.

The anti-corruption movement is serious and has made great progress, however, China has not and will not engage any serious of “political reform.” What the leadership has said for the past thirty years of “political reform” in fact is “political improvement.” That is to improve the existing political system, especially the Communist Party’s role and Socialist system, without any real reform. This is going to be the trends in another seven years of Xi Jinping’s term.

About the Speaker:

Dr. CHU Shulong is currently a Professor of Political Science and International Relations at the School of Public Policy and Management and is the director of the Institute of International Strategic and Development Studies at Tsinghua University in Beijing, China. He is also a Professor at China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ Party School and an advisor to China’s Central Television (CCTV) international reporting, Director of the Center for Northeast Asian Studies of Dalian University of Foreign Languages. He was previously director for the North American Studies Division of the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR). He was a senior visiting fellow at the Center for U.S.-China Relations of New York University in January 2013, at the Brookings Institution in 2006-2007, and the East-West Center in 2001. Dr. Chu’s major areas of research are international relations, US foreign strategy and China policy, the Sino-US relations, and China’s foreign and security strategies. His most recent publications include The Sino-US Relations in the Post-Cold War Era; Basic Theories of International Relations; China’s Foreign Strategy and Policy, and. American Government and Politics (three volumes).